Friday, September 12, 2014

Lazy Man's Michigan Preview: Miami (Ohio) (NTM)


See what I did there. I replace "Red" with 'Chicken'. Clever, right?

How do you bounce back from an embarrassing loss to a rival in the final scheduled game of the series? You order up a team that hasn't won a game since October 27th, 2012. Yes, you read that correctly, 2012.

Miami (Ohio) RedHawks (0-2, 0-0 MAC) @ Michigan Wolverines (1-1, 0-0 B1G)
Michigan Stadium, Saturday 9/13, 3:30 pm ET BTN

Offense
Well last week happened. This week I'll be looking to see how these kids respond. All the backs (running and Quarter) had a bit of a rough go last week. I suspect they will bounce back just fine. The offense line will continue to gel and look more like they did against Appy St. I'd like to see one of the running backs distance himself from the other. I'm now firmly on Team Smith. But, honestly I don't care who it is, I just want to see one.

Devin Gardner needs to show that he can spread the ball around. He needs to develop his vision in the pocket. He has way to many weapons to just lock into his first option and make a poor throw or take a sack. Progress, young man. Progress.

Defense
Can a brotha get a jam at the line, please? Please? I actually played cornerback in high school, on a state-runner up football team. We typically played man, as it was a small school and our schemes weren't that developed. That, and it was the stone age. Anyway, you are going to fail as a defense back, playing man if you can not disrupt the receiver's routes. You can't give up the inside and you can't let the receiver stay in time.

PLUS, you have to disrupt the timing to give your front 7 a chance to get to the quarterback. Frank Clark is going to go postal on the secondary if he has another game with 350 "almost sacks". These aren't Notre Dame receivers we're talking about here, so I don't think this will be an issue. If it is, may the good lord help us all.

Special Teams
For the love of Bo will a kicker please put the ball through the damn uprights. I'm not sure what's going on in Wile's head, but he ain't right. I get the miss on the second kick, he slipped. But that's three other kicks now that just looked awful.

You. Kick. Ball. Uprights. Simple.

Prediction
I can't see Michigan struggle in this game. Just way too much of a talent difference. This is a team that is going to beat up on inferior talent and struggle against good competition. It just is. They're still too young and green offensively to be dominate.

That said, everyone loves a Mac-Snack early in the season. And thankfully, this snack is more of a Twinkie than a bag of Jack's Link Jerky. No messin' with Sasquatch this day my friends.

Michigan 48 -10

Thursday, September 11, 2014

Quick Buck Thursday: A Few Of My Favorites


I don't care what you say, Julie Andrews was a hottie!

It's a good start to the season going 2-0 on the 5-unit games. Stick with me kid, we're going places!

Unit Roll - 51 Units

Thursday 
Louisiana Tech @ North Texas -3.5 - 2 units
Both these teams had rough first games against the Big XII and then convincing wins in their second. These two are pretty evenly matched. But The Mean Green are a convincing 8-1 ATS at home their last nine home games. I like those odds.

Saturday
Louisville -6.5 @ Virginia - 5 units
Virginia hung tough with UCLA. Louisville doesn't need to travel as far as the Bruins. It looks like Bobby has the Cardinals picking up right were he left off. I'd get on this one before the sharps starting pushing it back up.

Kansas @ Duke -15 - 2 units
Duke is 2-0. But they are just 0-1-1 ATS. And you know what? I don't care. Kansas is, well, Kansas. On the road. Where there are 7-18-1 in their last 26. It's ah not so great. Enjoy this little afternoon W.

Purdue @ Notre Dame -28 - 2 units
Purdue is a dumpster fire. Golson is not the same quarterback he was two years ago. Easy pick.

Arizona State -15.5 @ Colorado - 2 units
What a nice little nightcap. No? Colorado continues to impress this season by starting out 0-2 ATS. I know The Devils have had their struggles on the road, but you just can't pass this up. But grab this number now before it gets any higher.


The Baylor Bears Bonus Over Of The Week
Baylor @ Buffalo - OVER 69
We're going with the namesake in this one. I have a feeling this one comes in around 85.


The Bob Drake "I need another team for my 21 team teaser" Double Bonus 
Nebraska @ Fresno State - Over 63
Both these teams have gone over in both their games thus far. The Black Shirts are non-existent. Grab it before it goes up.

Sunday, September 7, 2014

Open Letter To B1G Football



I think what we have here is a case of "Puppy Death Syndrome"

Dear B1G Football,

We need to talk. Like really talk. Like maybe we should go see someone kind of talk. I know how against it you are, but if we don't do something our relationship could be in real trouble. We've been hinting at it for years now. I think it's finally come to a head and we need to listen to what everyone else already know. Our relationship is in trouble.

After what happened yesterday I went on the internet and did some research. Not just for me, but for us. Some of this might hurt, but I think we'll have a stronger bond when we come out the other side.

In this article I found, Dr. Margaret Paul gives us the seven ingredients of a Healthy Relationship. I'd like you to hear my side of things and then just follow up with your feelings or better yet, I'd like to see your actions change after we go through this. Again this is not just for me, but for us.

1) Emotional Responsibility
I'm not suggesting that I have totally abandoned myself here. What I'm saying is I think I've been slipping towards a place where my emotional safety is at risk each and every weekend. This is not your fault. I know that I am the keeper of my own happiness and self-worth. What I want you to understand is when Jesse Palmer suggests in the early part of Saturday that Purdue is indicative of the other B1G schools, I may not be as apt to defend you. I know this may hurt, but I'm afraid, my emotional well being is at risk if I continue to blindly and emotionally defend the quality of the conference.

2) Kindness, Acceptance, Compassion and Empathy
Dr. Paul says that these pillars come naturally once you have stopped abandoning yourself, so for me the time for this is here. I'm concerned that your time may not be. I need you to understand how I feel, Northwestern. I don't want to be unkind, but it's important that you be empathetic to what it will be like when at work on Monday everyone is all like "NIU LOLZ". I accept you for who and what you are. And I promise to be kind and compassionate when I talk about tire fires moving forward.

3) Warmth, Affection, Connection, Laughter and Fun
This use to be fun. We use to laugh at the ACC and Big East together, remember? Michigan? Do you remember how we use to enjoy Saturday afternoons together? Back when you could put points on the board? Buckeyes? Remember when early season home losses were unimaginable? I think we can find that place again, we just need to take responsibility for our own happiness. I'm getting there, I want you to as well.

4) Enjoy Time Together and Time Apart
I think this one is really important. Look, you went out and got your own network, which we both thought would be so great for our relationship. And, during basketball season, it's really great. But now I'm afraid we may be smothering one an other. It use to be that squeaking out a win against an FCS team could be lost to the ether with no one seeing. Now every game is available for us to see. I think it's time we spent some time apart, Iowa, Illinois and Nebraska. I'm just going to need some me time to get us on the right track again. It's time for you, too, to find your happiness. This will make our future "together time" so much better.

5) Learning Through Conflict
It's important that we find our system for learning through our conflicts. Yesterday was a perfect example of this. Me? What I did was turn to booze and tried to avoid texts and twitter. I don't think this is healthy for me or for our relationship. When things get rough, Sparty, and you blow a second half lead, we need a way to get through it. And, you Wisconsin. When you have nine points on the board at halftime against a terrible, terrible team, we need a way to work through our anger. And Michigan, well, I think we'll have to talk later.

6) Trust That You Support Each Other's Highest Good -- Joy for Each Other's Joy
What Dr. Paul is saying here is that we need to trust that we are not out to deliberately hurt one another. This, in my opinion, is the toughest one on the list. This morning I'm running through everything in my head and wondering if you are really capable of breaking through here. I mean Maryland, it looked like you were trying everything in your power to give that game away yesterday. Doesn't that seem deliberate to you? I will support you, I always have. But, it's going to be difficult until we heal.

7) Spark -- Physical, Emotional and Intellectual
Rutgers, I think you've done the best job with number seven. I know that each and every one of you has it in you to come through. I know it's in there. I've seen it before. We have a few more games until conference starts to light that fire. I'm ready if you are.

I hope you take these seven ingredients as seriously as I am. Like I said, I am going to work on my inner healing. And I think we may have to spend some time apart in order to get our relationship back to where it use to be.

I'm counting on you, B1G. Please don't let me down.

With all my undying love and support,
Me

Friday, September 5, 2014

Lazy Man's Michigan Preview: Dirty Filthy Catholics

I'm sad this is the last scheduled meeting. 

What is always one of my favorite non-conference games of the year will cease to exist after tomorrow. Fear and money do strange things to a man. Yeah, I'm talking to you Jack!

Enough of that nonsense, let's see if the Wolverines can build off their hot start last week.

Michigan Wolverines (1-0, 0-0 B1G) @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish (1-0)
Notre Dame Stadium, Saturday, 7:35 pm ET NBC

Offense
As far as we know the "Study Hall Cheaters", as I am now referring to them, are still suspended. Which means The Irish defense is missing key contributors. They did hold down Rice last week. But that not very good Rice did rush for 3.5 yd/carry. I think Michigan will have some opportunities on the edges in the running game. The Irish linebacking corps isn't all that impressive either, so look for Funchess and Norfleet to make a living in the middle of the field. I think that Nuss will try and neutralize the ND D-Line, so look for a series of screens for both backs and outside WRs.

Defense
Everett Golson is back for the Irish this season. He was mediocre in the opener last week. Again, Rice. The only question for the Defense from last week is the effectiveness of Jake Ryan as the middle linebacker. With Morgan out, he's really going to have to play well to keep this Irish offense down. I am excited to see how the secondary matches up with the Irish wide outs. Should be a good test for the talented secondary.

Special Teams
These games are always so close that a special teams play is going to matter. I'm interested to see if Peppers will be back to return punts again. I hope so. I see Hagerup flipping the field once or twice to make a huge difference in the game.

Prediction

Quick Buck Thursday: Starting Lonely

Starting out with the lonely number one isn't all that bad.

I debated opening this week's QBT with The Hook by Blues Traveler after what happened Thursday night. But then Washington and Utah State shit the bed in end the week. I think what we learned is that Chris Anderson meant more to The Aggies than Chucky Keeton. Or maybe Tennessee is actually good? IDK man. IDK.

But a positive week is a good week. On to this week!

Unit Roll: 46 Units

Saturday
Buffalo +3.5 @ Army - 2 Units
I know it's a NV Nole "no-no" to bet against the service academies, but I like Buffalo to win this game. I guess the ten point win over Duquesne scared folks. The line continues to move up, if you wait you may be able to get this at 4.

(24) Missouri -3.5 @ Toledo - 2 units
 My win over an FCS team was better than your win over an FCS team. Yeah I don't buy it. This number started out at -6. Toledo is going to score points, yes. But Missouri and Maty Mauk have enough juice to squeeze out a touchdown victory.

Friday, August 29, 2014

Lazy Man's Michigan Preview: Appalachian State

Dave Brandon is my Sweet Pea. What did you do Dave Brandon? What did you do???


Appalachian St Mountaineers (0-0, 0-0 Sun Belt) @ Michigan Wolverines (0-0, 0-0 B1G)
Saturday, 8/30 Noon pm ET, Michigan Stadium, ESPN2

Welp, I guess it’s happening.

The last time this game was played, this blog didn’t exist. And I’m glad for that. Because had that been my first foray into blogdom, I’m not sure I would have made it to week 2.

The good news is: this isn't 2007. Appy State isn't lining up Armanti Edwards and rattling of FCS National Championships. In fact, they only won four games last year. And at least this time, the game actually counts being that Appy State has moved on up and is a proud member of the Sun Belt Conference.

Moreover, this isn't 2007 Michigan.  At least I hope it’s not. If it is, basketball is only a few months away.

Offense
Gardner is back, healthy, a senior and pretty good. Nussmeier has had really great success with quarterbacks. So if the line can hold up, at all, we should see good things from him.

Thursday, August 28, 2014

Quick Buck Thursday: The REDAWNING


Monkies be shooting guns, yo!


Hey there! Yeah hi, it's me again. I know I know it's been too long, right?

When we last chatted, boy, things were great. And then I reviewed the results from Championship Week. Holy buckets. Do yourself a favor and don't click on that link.

That said, we still ended up at 45 units on the year. That's 25 units over where we started. And that my friends is good stuff. Therefore I felt I owed it to myself and all 15 of you to bring back QBT for another season.

Nothing different, same deal as last year. I'll make picks for the week, assign them a unit number, you bet it and send me half the winnings. Deal? Okay then. Let's get started.

Unit Roll - 45 Units

Thursday
Tulane +6.5 @ Tulsa - 2 units
I love opening lines. They're always interesting. This line started out at -26.5. I know. Since then it's come back to earth and for good reason. Tulane, despite being on the road, returns more starters than Tulsa and was 9-2 ATS finishing the year last year. I'll take them to keep it close in the opener.

Friday
Colorado State +3 @ Colorado - 5 units
I'm sure there is some kind of name for this game. Like The Weed Bowl or The Legalized Cup or something. At least there should be. See how these two teams finished last year, I think the Rams avenge last year's season opener and steal one in Denver.

Tuesday, August 26, 2014

The 2014 Season is Upon Us

Well it’s here. The 2014 College Football season kicks off this week. But for some reason I’m weirdly, apathetic. And I can’t figure out why.

I have to admit it bothers me that I’m not more excited. Is it an age thing? Do I have sports burn out after another great college basketball season, a foray into baseball betting, an exciting World Cup, did I, gulp, mature? I just don’t know. What I do know is I’ve searched high and low for a reason.

My season prep hasn’t changed. I’ve obsessed over MGoBlog bits of information about Michigan football. I’ve read Phil Steele’s blog three times a day every day. I’m even suffered through Countdown to Kickoff.  
I haven’t had the desire or the fire to get back on the horse after a long, long off-season. Several times this spring and summer an idea for a post popped into my head. But, when I’d sit down to write, nothing came out.

So here we are. Kick-off week and I’m searching for words. Any words. The right words. Are these them?
They are what they are. I suppose.

I’m not sure what the season will bring. I’m sure at this Saturday’s season kick off with Vegas Cyclown and NV Nole all will get right in the my world again. We’ll fire up the smoker at 7 am. Ice down the beer and crack one open at 9:00 am (that’s how we do it on the West Coast). We’ll flip between Iowa State vs North Dakota St and Michigan vs that team that shall not be named.

Which brings up an issue I have. Come with me for a minute.

Fuck you Dave Brandon! I mean really! Why the hell would you ever schedule this game again?  At least it’ll count this time as they’ve moved up a division. But still. Now I’m going to have to sit through those damn highlights again. It’s like you’ve jammed a hot poker into the faint scare that remained from that gut-wrenching wound six years ago. So, F U Brandon!

Damn! That felt good.

Thanks for coming with me on that little journey there. I needed that. Wait, was that a? I think it just might have been. It might have been the spark I needed to get this season cooking.

By the time we’re all locked onto the stage built by the Home Depot, the fire will be burning and I’ll be praying that history won’t repeat itself.


I can’t quit you College Football. You complete me. 

Wednesday, January 8, 2014

PS Bowl-A-Thon 2013: That's a Wrap

It's required that you play this as you read the wrap up.

Well the 2013-14 College football season is in the books. The BCS is finally no more. And the PS Bowl-A-Thon is put to bed after another exciting bowl season.

First and foremost, I'd like to thank B1G for stepping up this bowl season and helping me out with all the posts. His insight and humor was a welcome change of pace for all of you I'm sure.

PS Bowl-A-Thon Pick EM
I also believe a congratulations is in order to one Jim Gentleman as the victor in this year's PS Bowl-A-Thon Pick Em! Jim's Jim Gentleman's Winning Picks entry correctly picked 20 of the 35 games and earned the most point. Congrats Jim!

Here's a look at the final standings:
Rank
Pick Set
Correct Picks
Points
Possible Points
1Jim Gentleman's Winning Picks  Jim Gentleman20 of 35372372
2Bowl Movement  Steve21 of 35370370
3Just Win Baby!  Travis20 of 35360360
4You all suck (as much as me)  Jody F20 of 35358358
5SEC Guy  SEC Guy17 of 35352352
6Weisman for Heisman  Royalhawks7717 of 35320320
7Daddyofthemack Daddy  Justin17 of 35292292
8* Meggs & Jansen Comedy Hour  Erik16 of 35288288
9Flip a Coin  Terrence16 of 35249249

We are..ah..not so good at the picking

Monday, January 6, 2014

PS Bowl-A-Thon 2013: Vizio BCS National Championship


It all ends tonight and Dan Wetzel finally gets his way.

The When/Where:
Vizio BCS National Championship, Rose Bowl, Pasadena, CA, January 6, 2014, 8:30 pm ET ESPN

The Who:
(1) Florida State Seminoles (13-0, 8-0 ACC) @ (2) Auburn Tigers (12-1, 7-1 SEC)

The Why:
You know the story. Auburn slides into the #2 BCS slot by upsetting Alabama on the "Kick Six" and beating Missouri in the SEC championship game. Florida State dominated a weak schedule, albeit barely tested during that schedule, to sit atop the final BCS poll.

Florida State enters its 42 bowl game all time and a shot at it's third national title (93, 99). They are on a five bowl game win streak.

Auburn completes an improbably turnaround and enters its 38th bowl game. They are also looking to claim their third national title (57, 2010). 

What Smartypants Accounting Guy Would Tell You: