Monday, January 10, 2011

PS Bowl-A-Thon 2010: Tostitos BCS National Championship Game

Tostitos BCS National Championship Game


Carl someday we'll have a playoff and all will be right in the world.

The Where and When:
January 10th, 8:30 p.m. est, University of Phoenix Stadium, GLENDALE, AZ, ESPN/ESPN3.

The Who:
#2 Oregon Ducks (12-0, 9-0 Pac 10) vs #1 Auburn Tigers (13-0, 8-0 SEC)

The Why:
Oregon demolished the PAC 10 taking home the conference crown and heading to it's first BCS National Championship and 24th bowl game all time.

Auburn owned arguable the toughest conference in the nation in the SEC and is headed to their first BCS National Championship game as well. This is their 36th bowl game all time and second in a row.

What Smartypants Accounting Guy Would Tell You:
What is there left to say about either team that a billion others haven't already. Oregon is arguably the best offense in the country. Ranked 2nd in total offense they are the number one scoring offense at 49.3 ppg. They are the 4th ranked rushing attack and really don't find the need to pass at 54th. Defensively they've been surprising good. Ranked 25th in total defense they are giving up just 18.4 ppg (14th). They are good against the run at 15th and solid against the pass at 55th.

Auburn has been just as good. Led by the Heisman Trophy winner they are the 8th ranked total offense. Scoring 42.7 ppg (6th) they too will run first as the 5th ranked rushing attack. But can also pass as the 68th ranked passing attack. Defensively they haven't been as good as the ducks. The 54th ranked total defense is allowing 24.5 ppg (53rd). They are solid against the run at 10th but just 105th against the pass.

This part is kind of silly since neither team has lost but I think it's important to note that Auburn faced 6 winning and 6 ranked teams. Oregon faced just three winning teams and only one ranked team.

Pool Prognosticators Pattern:
Oregon is like the Tim Gunn of college football. They have new unis every single game it seems like. I like that. Fashion forward. Plus Auburn is the Tigers, right. What's this War Eagle stuff all about. They seemed confused. I'll go with the well dressed Ducks.

Vegas Edge
This line hasn't budged in a month. Auburn is a 2.5 point favorite. And that's good news for Auburn fans as they went 9-3 ATS on the year and 8-3 as the fav. Oregon was favored in every contest and finished the season 6-5 ATS. The over is 74, but who knows how these two teams will react to the pressure.

The Sweatpants Verdict:
Well here it is. The big dog. The NCG. Ducks or Tigers. This game is going to be fun to watch. Two really great offenses. Plus I'm sure it's going to make Gary "the spread is dead" Danielson's head explode since both are spread teams. Ass hat!

Moving on. I know Auburn made it through the SEC and are an unkillable zombie team with all their comebacks, but no team has made half time adjustments and worn teams down like this Oregon team. Plus I just think they are a more complete team. Yes, they didn't face as good a teams as Auburn week in and week out, but Stanford is as big and mauling as any SEC team and the Ducks handled them with ease. I don't see Auburn having enough on defense to slow them down and the Ducks have enough offense to keep up with Auburn when they make their inevitable second half come back. Oregon wins the BCS title in the upset.

*The PS Bowl-a-Thon is 21-13 for the bowl season.
**Special thanks to CFBstats.com for providing all the numbers for the previews.

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