Thursday, September 15, 2011

GOTW: SEC

A fairly interesting week last week, where we saw Auburn escape yet again and South Carolina showed that either it's for real or Georgia is once again an over-hyped fraud.

This week south of the Mason-Dixon is rather pedestrian. I think you have to look again at Mississippi State for your game of the week. And, they should have the Nation's attention playing LSU tonight. So this week's SEC GOTW:

(3) LSU Tigers at (16) Mississippi St Bulldogs - Thurs 9/15, 8:00 ET ESPN/ESPN3

Offensively what do we know? Well given our small sample size thus far we have Mississippi St as the 5th ranked overall offense in the country. That comes mostly care of putting up 59 on Memphis, but SR QB Chris Relf and co did put up 34 on Auburn, so who knows. Relf will continue to give the ball to SR RB Vick Ballard and toss the ball to FR WR Jameon Lewis.

LSU, on the other hand, is languishing at 89th in total offense. Which really is about normal for them as they typically rely on a strong defense and that horseshoe up The Hat's ass to score and win games. That said, SR QB Jared Lee has done a nice job stepping in and leading the offense. He'll continue throwing the ball to JR WR Ruben Randall. LSU does have a couple of decent SO RB's in Micheal Ford and Spencer Ware. LSU is very young at the skill position where only one senior is has gotten any looks in SR TE Deangelo Peterson.

Defensively Manic Manny needs to figure out how to get JR LB Cameron Lawrence and the 56th ranked total defense to regroup after giving up 41 to Auburn last week. This seems like a good week for them to rebound. While LSU is on the right path already as the 11th ranked total defense. A lot of that has to do with playing Northwestern State last week, but to their credit they did hold Oregon to 27 points in week one.

Vegas likes the Bulldogs in this one with the majority of the lines sitting at -3.5. The over is sitting at 50 and that might be something worth looking at.

So I guess I need to make a prediction here. Well I like Mississippi State. They are at home. They will be looking to rebound after last week's near miss. And they want to take the West. I even like them to cover. But I do think it'll be low scoring and something weird is bound to happen given it's Les Miles and a National audience.

Elsewhere is the SEC:

All Saturday games
(21) Auburn at Clemson - 12:00 ET ABC
Ole Miss at Vanderbilt - 12:21 ET SEC Network/ESPN3
Coastal Carolina at Georgia - 1:00 ET Game Plan/ESPN3
Tennessee at (16) Florida - 3:30 ET CBS
Navy at (10) South Carolina - 6:00 ET ESPN2/ESPN3
Louisville at Kentucky - 7:00 ET ESPNU
Troy at (14) Arkansas - 7:30 ET Game Plan/ ESPN3
North Texas at (2) Alabama - 7:30 ET Game Plan/ESPN3

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