Saturday, January 7, 2012

PS Bowl-A-Thon 2011: BBVA Compass Bowl

The Where and When:
BBVA Compass Bowl, Legion Field, Birmingham, AL, January 7, 2012 1:00 ET ESPN/ESPN3

The Who:
Southern Methodist University Mustangs (7-5, 5-3 CUSA) vs Pittsburgh Panthers (6-6, 4-3 Big East)

The Why:
Pitt finished 5th in the Big East. SMU also finished 5th in CUSA. It's a battle of conference middle weights!

What Smartypants Accounting Guy Would Tell You:
Neither of these teams is an offensive juggernaut! But we're talking about a June Jones passing offense in SMU vs a more balanced Pitt offense. They are 69th (Pitt) and 70th (SMU) in scoring so I don't see points coming very often.

Surprisingly SMU is better defensively. Both are good against the run but Pitt is susceptible to the pass. Which could mean bad news for them.

Pool Prognosticators Pattern:
I hate Craig James! Go Panthers

Vegas Edge:
The line opened with Pitt a 7 point favorite but since the line has moved to -3.5. The O/U is 46.5 and looks pretty tempting. Although Pitt went 7-4 ATS and 5-0 ATS in it's last 5. Where as SMU was just 3-8.

The Sweatpants Verdict:
The Big East has had a nice bowl showing so far going 3-1. And down the stretch Pitt has been pretty decent narrowly losing to WVU and Cincy. But without their head coach, who knows how things will go for them. I still think the run game will be too much for SMU and Sunseri makes a couple of nice plays. Pitt 24 - 21

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