Thursday, September 13, 2012

Bring on the Cheddarwrusts

Well, it was an ugly yet delightful weekend. My Cyclones willed their way to one of the least impressive wins in school history (still, they are 2-0) and my other selections made me look like a football betting god.

Week 2 results
4-1 SU/ 5-0 ATS
Season Stats
9-1 SU/8-2 ATS (not too shabby)

Week 3 Games:

TCU @ Kansas +26.5
The Big XII could not have given TCU a better welcoming swag bag than the sacrificial Jayhawks. It is in Lawrence, which means absolutely nothing, so look for this game to get weird early and often for the Horned Frogs. The line opened with TCU a 26.5 point favorite, but has dropped to 21. This indicates the betting public isn’t high on TCU but recognizes the ineptness of Kansas. I’m comfortable with 26.5, but I love 21.

TCU wins, covers and humiliates 42-12

Northern Iowa @ Iowa no line
I don't usually pick games that include an FCS matchup, but this Northern Iowa team is not your run of the mill FCS program. They are a perennial power in the lower level of D-1 football who have annual reservations in the FCS tournament and have been known to give Iowa and Iowa State matchup issues in the past. Recently, like two weeks ago, they almost beat one of the B1G's best (maybe not this year's best) in Wisconsin on the road. My point is: they're talented and dangerous and Iowa is not. Iowa has had a difficult time finding the end zone so far this season, and if not for a late field goal in their opener, they could be entering this game 0-2, which would be AWESOME! They will, however, be leaving this game 1-2.

Northern Iowa wins 14-10

North Texas @ K-State -28
Dan MacCarney is back in Big XII country. Too bad he isn't playing the other Kansas team, Kansas. Bill Snyder never treated Coach Mac well as the head coach of Iowa State, and I don't look for him to change his ways now. K-State is probably one of the most underrated teams in college football right now. This won't last much longer, however, and unfortunately for Scrappy the Eagle the cream of Texas' talent does not rise to the top of this talent rich state.

K-State wins, covers and retires at half time 48-17

Utah State @ Wisconsin -12.5
It was the best of times; it was the worst of times. Utah State comes into this game a week departed from beating their in-state rivals although Utah would argue they are not rivals at all. Sound familiar Iowa fans? Meanwhile, Wisconsin is trying to find themselves after a disappointing opener against UNI and an embarrassing loss against Oregon State. Seriously? Who loses to Oregon State? In anything? I'm really not sure what to think here. Utah is bad, but so is Oregon State. Its early in the season yet, and the Aggies are rolling with confidence right now. Wisconsin may pull it together when they begin their conference schedule, but I don’t believe they do this weekend.

Utah State wins outright, Wisconsin fans turn to cheese and bratwursts for comfort, 21-17

Game Of The Week
Notre Dame @ Michigan State -2.5
This line had already moved up to -6 by Wednesday morning meaning the betting community does not yet believe in the Irish. Perhaps it was the lackluster performance last week against the Boilermakers of Purdue or perhaps they think Sparty is undervalued. My thoughts? I think Notre Dame was tired after traveling to Ireland for their matchup with Navy and were uninspired at home against an average Purdue team. The Spartans are good, but I think the Irish are better and have gotten over their jet lag.

Notre Dame wins 28-21

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