Thursday, October 4, 2012

Drake's Divination Week 6: Trading Places

Mortimer and Randolph stopped by to help out the Divination this week. 

Week 5 Recap

Minnesota @ Iowa
Line: Iowa -6.5
Divination: Minnesota 24 - 20
Result: Iowa 31 - 13
Quote: Should've avoided the Frozen Orange Juice!

Ohio @ UMass
Line: Ohio -24
Divination: Ohio 39 - 13
Result: Ohio 38 - 34
Quote: If there is one thing I've learned from this game, it's stay out of the MAC!

Virginia Tech @ Cincinnati 
Line: VT -7
Divination: VT 20 - 17
Result: Cincy 27 - 24
Quote: VT is looking like a new favorite of mine.

UCLA @ Colorado
Line: UCLA -19.5
Divination: UCLA 44 - 17
Result: UCLA 42 - 14
Quote: We'll always have Colorado. Nailed it!

Oregon St @ Arizona
Line: AZ -2.5
Divination: Or St 20 - 13
Result: Or St 38 - 35
Quote: #beaverjuice

The Divination Record
This week
SU: 3-2
ATS: 3-2

SU: 17-8
ATS: 9-14

Week 6 Divination

So we righted the ship a bit from week 4. Let's flip the entire thing around shall we. This week's divination is going to get a little assistance from the classic 80's movie, Trading Places. Dan, Eddie, Jamie Lee, take it away.
Virginia Tech (3-2, 1-0 ACC) @ North Carolina (3-2, 0-1 ACC)
Saturday 10/6, 12:30 ET ESPN
Line: UNC -4.5

"Billy Ray Valentine: Okay, pork belly prices have been dropping all morning, which means that everybody is waiting for it to hit rock bottom, so they can buy low. Which means that the people who own the pork belly contracts are saying, "Hey, we're losing all our damn money, and Christmas is around the corner, and I ain't gonna have no money to buy my son the G.I. Joe with the kung-fu grip! And my wife ain't gonna f... my wife ain't gonna make love to me if I got no money!" So they're panicking right now, they're screaming "SELL! SELL!" to get out before the price keeps dropping. They're panicking out there right now, I can feel it." 

I think this is kind of how Hokie fans must be feeling right about now. There's a bit of panic in Blacksburg. Or at the very least there should be some with Frank Beamer. I don't think things are going to improve for them on the road this week. VT is 1-4 ATS on the season. I've now seen two of their games and they just look bad. Not to mention the line has moved towards UNC since it opened. I think you're getting good value at -4.5, take it and run. 

UNC 30 - 21.

Central Michigan (2-2, 0-1 MAC) @ Toledo (4-1, 2-0 MAC)
Saturday 10/6, 3:00 ET, ESPN3
Line: Toledo -10

"President of Exchange: [Randolph Duke has just collapsed with shock] Mortimer, your brother is not well. We better call an ambulance.
Mortimer Duke: Fuck him! Now, you listen to me! I want trading reopened right now. Get those brokers back in here! Turn those machines back on! "

I know I said to stay out of the MAC after Ohio crapped all over me, but F it! I just can't avoid this one. We're again looking at a team, Toledo, that's 4-1 ATS strapping it up against CMU who is 1-3 ATS. With CMU on the road and both teams about the same defensively, I sucked in by the advantage Toledo has offensively. The one spread the Rockets didn't cover was against an FCS team and who can handicap those anyway? I think Toledo wins by three scores. 

Toledo 38 - 21.

Georgia Tech (2-3, 1-2 ACC) @ Clemson (4-1, 1-1 ACC)
Saturday 10/6, 3:30 ET, ESPN
Line: Clemson -10

"Billy Ray Valentine: [on his first day of work] What if I can't do this job, Coleman? What if I'm not what they expected? 
Coleman: Just be yourself, sir. Whatever happens, they can't take that away from you."

Paul Johnson is being himself and they can't take that away from him. Now, that means Middle Tennessee State can whoop you at home, but at least you have your self worth. I know the Jackets are 4-1 against Clemson over the past four matchups, but this is a different Tech team. After the lackluster performance at BC, I think Dabo will have the Tigers ready to play at home. Plus the Tigers get Sammie Watkins back. It'll be a wild one, but Clemson gets a little redemption. 

Clemson 45 - 31.

LSU (5-0, 1-0 SEC) @ Florida (4-0, 3-0 SEC)
Saturday 10/6, 3:30 ET, CBS
Line: LSU -2.5

"Billy Ray Valentine: 'Cause I'm a karate man! And a karate man bruises on the inside! They don't show their weakness. But you don't know that because you're a big Barry White looking motherfucker! So get outta my face!" 

LSU hasn't shown it's weakness yet because they haven't played anybody. This will be their first real test. And it's on the road. Although its young, this Florida team is good, they are healthy and I think they're out to prove something this weekend. At this point, along with their poll ranking, the line is based solely on LSU's name and past reputation. I really like Florida in the upset here. 

Florida 27 - 16.

West Virginia (4-0, 1-0 Big 12) @ Texas (4-0, 1-0 Big 12)
Saturday 10/6, 7:00 ET, Fox
Line: Texas -7

Louis Winthorpe III: [approaching the New York Commodities Exchange] Think big, think positive, never show any sign of weakness. Always go for the throat. Buy low, sell high. Fear? That's the other guy's problem. Nothing you have ever experienced will prepare you for the absolute carnage you are about to witness. Super Bowl, World Series - they don't know what pressure is. In this building, it's either kill or be killed. You make no friends in the pits and you take no prisoners. One minute you're up half a million in soybeans and the next, boom, your kids don't go to college and they've repossessed your Bentley. Are you with me? 

This is WVU's real introduction to the Big XII. Last week was warm up game, against a team that will be lucky to finish middle of the pack. We all know what WVU's offense can do, but what shows me more is what their defense can't do. Texas is a complete team and has faced this style of offense before. They'll know how to handle it. And because WVU defense can't stop anybody, I don't think their offense will have enough in this one to win. Texas is 3-1 ATS where WVU is 1-3. The Longhorns stay in the hunt for the Big XII title. Texas 48 - 35.

No comments: