Thursday, October 25, 2012

Drake's Divination Week 9: Slaying It!

Oh yes I did!

Pretty nice week last week. If you are doing this thing right, on they year you should be....slaying it! Let's recap.

LSU @ TAMU
Line: LSU -3.5
Divination: TAMU 27 - 21
Result: LSU 24 - 19
Quote: This looked so good at the half.

New Mexico State @ Utah St
Line: Utah St -30
Divination: Utah St 46 - 7
Result: Utah St 41 - 7
Quote: How dare you not score the extra five points Aggies!

KSU @ WVU
Line: WVU -2.5
Divination: KSU 45 - 33
Result: KSU 55 - 14
Quote: Welcome to the Big XII, WVU!

Utah @ Oregon St
Line: Oregon St -10.5
Divination: Oregon St 31 - 12
Result: Oregon St 21 - 7
Quote: In-n-Out for everyone!!!

GOTW
SCAR @ Florida
Line: Florida -3
Divination: Florida 17 - 14 (pick: the under)
Result: Florida 44 - 11
Quote: Spurrier is clearly still working for Florida. So much for the under


The Divination Record
This week
SU: 4-1
ATS: 3-2

Season
SU: 29-11
ATS: 20-18

Week 9 Divination
After looking over the slate of games this week is looking a little tougher. However, I still feel pretty confident we found five winners for ya.

Ball State (5-3, 3-2 MAC) @ Army (1-6)
Saturday 10/27, Noon ET, CBS Sports Network
Line: Ball St -4.5

I know I keep saying I need to avoid the MAC, but this is more about Army than it is about Ball St. Their three losses have come against good teams (Clemson, Kent St and NIU). They may not be completely adept at stopping the run, but guess who's worse? Yeah, Army is not so good defensively. Add in the ATS records, 6-2 and 2-5 respectively, and I think the line is very favorable. Lots of offense in this one. As a bonus bet, consider the over.

Ball St 45 - 33.

Utah State (6-2, 2-0 WAC) @ Texas-San Antonio (5-2, 1-1 WAC)
Saturday 10/27, 2:00 pm ET, ESPN3
Line: Utah St -24

From the MAC to the WAC. As you know, Utah State has been a favorite of mine all year. And rightfully so as they are a 8-0 ATS. This is a trend I really don't see ending this week. They have two weeks until a showdown with La Tech, so they should be focused. UTSA is in it's transition year and three of their wins are against non FBS schools. They got throttled by SJST last week and I expect more of the same this week.

Utah St 42 - 9

Colorado (1-6, 1-3 Pac-12) @ (4) Oregon (7-0, 4-0 Pac-12)
Saturday 10/27, 3:00 pm ET, Pac-12 Network
Line: Oregon -45.5

Oh, Buffaloes, I applaud you for not shutting it down entirely this year like Oregon did in the second half against ASU last week. That probably cost some of you that listened to the SEC Guy. What did we learn from that, kids? Any way, I expect a similar display this week. But here's the thing, I think Oregon's walk-ons are better than Colorado's starting unit. The Ducks score in the second half this week and roll.

Oregon 63 - 7

(7) Oregon State (6-0, 4-0 Pac-12) @ Washington (3-4, 1-3 Pac-12)
Saturday 10/27, 10:15 pm ET, Pac-12 Network
Line: Oregon St -4.5

If only you had the Pac-12 Network, right? Yeah, sorry about that. The Beavers are back for another week of making you happy. Am I concerned that they are 109th in passing defense? Maybe a little. But I also know that UW hasn't been real good against good defenses. If this line was higher, I'd consider passing. But when it's under a touchdown, I can't say no. Beavers continue their undefeated march towards the Civil War.

Oregon State 27 - 13

GOTW
(5) Notre Dame (7-0) @ (8) Oklahoma (5-1, 3-1 Big XII)
Saturday 10/27, 8:00 pm ET, ABC
Line: OU -10

To date, Notre Dame has won the battle of good defenses. Michigan, Michigan State, Stanford and BYU all have pretty stout defenses. And Notre Dame has squeaked by each. What they also have in common is not so good offenses. Michigan is the best offense they've faced (53rd in scoring and 62nd in total) and Denard Robinson got the whole "birthday gift giving" thing wrong and delivered the Irish four picks. Oklahoma is 5th in scoring offense and 17th in total offense. Oh, and they can actually pass the ball. Yes, they struggled at home against K-State. But it's looking more and more like the Wildcats are elite. They throttled the Tech defense which, up until that game, was hovering around ND. Gholston is back for the ND offense, but he hasn't been such a huge difference from Tommy Rees. I think Landry Jones avoids pulling a Denard and ND is exposed for being a bit one-sided.

Oklahoma 33 - 20

No comments: