Thursday, October 25, 2012

Sixty Percent of the Time, It Works Everytime

Last week continued my 60% success rate with another 3-2 record. Slow and steady wins the race.
Last week
3-2 SU
3-2 ATS

Season Stats
31-8 SU
22-15 ATS

K-State @ Texas Tech  +7.5
K-State is on a roll with Collin Klein destroying Geno Smith and the rest of the Mountaineers’ hope of any national recognition last weekend. Texas Tech is playing inspired football, too, since their loss to Oklahoma and can create a tie for first place in the conference by winning on Saturday. Tech has probably the toughest defense K-State has seen to date, with the exception of Oklahoma, and an offense that can score.

K-State wins a close one, closer than the 7.5

Baylor @ Iowa State -2.5
Iowa State is in need of a Quarterback. Any Quarterback will do. Barnett and Jantz have exhausted their abilities. However, they have been missing their starting running back, White, and last week sorely missed #19, Jared Lentz, both of whom could start again this week. Baylor has the worst defense in the league by far. The good thing for both teams this week is nothing makes a weak defense look good than a bad offense (see Oklahoma State’s stats against Iowa State), and vise versa. We’ll see which wins on Saturday; a totally movable object or a destructible force.

My guess; Iowa State gets back on track with a win.
Texas A&M @ Auburn +14
The Chiczk Countdown continues and this week stands at 30 days before he is ultimately released from his head coaching duties. Texas A&M may expedite his departure, however. This could be a trap game for Texas A&M, however. They are coming off a crushing loss to the LSU Tigers and have undefeated Mississippi State and Alabama looming over their schedule the following two weeks. This sandwich game could get the best of them. I wouldn’t be surprised if Auburn pulls off the upset here, but I certainly think they’ll do just enough to lose by less than 14

Take Auburn and the points

UNLV @ San Diego State -18
I heard recently that UNLV is the best 1-7 team in the nation. What high accolades. They are 6-2 ATS this season, and have proven they can keep games close-ish. San Diego State is not afraid to score, so that is a little scary, but I believe 18 is too much to give here.

Take UNLV and the points

GOTW
Notre Dame @ Oklahoma -10
Notre Dame’s schedule looked daunting at the beginning of the season with early matchups with Michigan and Michigan State. After nine weeks of football, however, it is less than stellar. I was high on the Fighting Irish early on too, but their offense is starting to show its true colors and as Iowa State fans can attest, that will lead to some losses against better talent. Oklahoma has the better talent and Bob Stoop’s Sooners are nearly unbeatable at home. Ten is a lot on paper, but I do not see this being a close game at all.

Oklahoma wins in a rout

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