Thursday, November 1, 2012

Must See TV on the Altitude Channel!

Loyal Readers,
First off, I’d just like to throw out a quick note of thoughts and prayers for all the people affected by Hurricane Sandy as well as give a heartfelt thanks to all the brave fire, police, and rescue workers assisting those impacted by the storm. 

That said, I know the games must go on so let’s go ahead and get to this week’s slate of action…

Oregon (-8)/USC   
7:00 eastern on Fox
As my loyal readers know, I’m not a fan of that “overrated team out west” and after their latest loss to Arizona I think it only further solidifies their status as a team that beats up on weak competition but can’t keep up at an elite level. Meanwhile, Oregon just continues to annihilate whoever they play and this year they have a stout defense to boot. I’m not sure why this line is so low, other than the fact that people must be thinking back to last year and USC beating the Ducks in Autzen Stadium. But this Ducks team is on a mission, and Chip Kelly’s squad needs to continue impressing the voters in an effort to jump Notre Dame and Kansas State in the BCS standings. Combine that with USC sporting a 2-6 record ATS this season and I don’t think the game is close. Look for Will Ferrell and all the other warm weather USC fans to be headed to the exits at halftime as the Ducks roll in a “not as close as it seems” win.

Oregon 49-28.

San Diego State/Boise State (-14)   
10:30 eastern on CBS College Sports
I know SDSU has had a nice season, going 6-3 thusfar, but Boise State has a chance to essentially lock up the MWC title with a win, keep their BCS hopes alive (given the B1G’s struggles – is anyone else going to laugh when Purdue is playing in the Granddaddy Of Them All?) and prove that, much to the dismay of many (including our peerless moderator), the Broncos are not overrated. I just don’t see SDSU quarterback Andrew Dingwell (making his second start for the injured Ryan Katz) having much success against a Boise defense giving up only 166 yards per game through the air. And while SDSU is only giving up about 125 yards per game on the ground, they are surrendering nearly 258 per game through the air. Fortunately for the team in blue, with Joe Southwick not making anyone forget about Kellen Moore, going against a poor pass defense is just what the Broncos ordered. Lastly, this is a night game in Boise, Idaho where temps will be somewhere between “cold” and “holy freaking crap” and I’m not seeing any way the Aztecs are ready to deal with the elements. Boise State’s defense dominates and scores (or sets up the offense in the red zone for seven), and the Broncos march off the blue turf with a win.

Boise State  28-7

San Jose State/Idaho (+19)   
5:00 eastern on the Altitude Channel (yeah I don’t get that channel either)
I get that the Kibbie Dome is an intimidating place to play for 9 year olds but I’m not sure why this line isn’t 50. Idaho just kicked two players off the team including starting QB Dominique Blackman, they rank 123rd in points for, 120th in points against, are 1-7 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS), and just gave up 70 points to LA Tech. Meanwhile, San Jose State is 6-2 (SU and ATS) will become bowl eligible with a win, rank 44th in points for and 38th in points against, and feature quarterback David Fales who is completing over 73% of his passes with 17 touchdowns against only 5 interceptions. It’s unfortunate that only the 12 people who actually subscripe to the Altitude Channel (and those of us who shelled out extra coin for ESPN Game Plan) will get to witness this beat down, but take the Spartans to win big.

San Jose State 55-17.

Pittsburgh (+16.5)/Notre Dame   
3:30 eastern on NBC
I know Notre Dame is highly ranked (and as much as I hate to say it, deservedly so) but after their big win at Oklahoma this has all the makings of a classic letdown game against a Pitt team hitting its stride. Yes, the Panthers struggled early but have improved week over week, pasting Temple last weekend by 30 and continually improving in Coach Chryst’s first year. I don’t think the Panthers win this game but in a classic late season, crisp fall weather battle they keep the game close as Coach Kelly rides his defense to another low scoring victory for the Irish. The stupid leprechaun only does a few pushups as the Irish survive a bit of a letdown with a seven to 10 point win that is never in doubt.

Pittsburgh +16.5

GOTW
Alabama (-9.5)/LSU   
8:00 eastern on CBS
How about CBS throwing out a night game rather than their normal 3:30 start? Hopefully Verne and Gary can stay up that late (actually, on second thought, hopefully not – I’d rather watch in silence then have to listen to those two somehow weave Timmy “back-up QB to the worst QB in the NFL” Tebow in 12 to 384 times). As far as the game goes, both defenses are clearly very good but the thing that stands out to me is Alabama’s offensive line has continued to get more and more dominant while LSU has lost some key offensive linemen throughout the season. And, as much as we like to think the game is decided by anything else, he who controls the line of scrimmage controls the game. Plus, the Tide holds a decided advantage at the quarterback position. To recap, both defenses are very good, Alabama’s QB is far superior, Alabama’s O-Line is a key advantage, and let’s not under-estimate that Alabama is looking for sweet revenge for last year’s loss, and it all adds up to another week of your humble correspondent repeating a familiar refrain (c’mon…you know want to say it with me…) Roll Tide!!

Alabama 21-3.

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