Thursday, September 19, 2013

Quick Buck Thursday: Winning!

I'm winning!!!!

Unit Roll – 20 units

Nice rebound week last week. All the dogs did what they were suppose to do and with Louisville giving a push set us rolling. The only blemish was the derailing of the Bowling Green bandwagon. Live and die by the MAC man! Through in the Bonus and it was a real good week.

The slate may not be exciting this week, but there are some real favorable match ups that I like.

Florida International @ Louisville -42.5 – 2 units
Yeah it’s a big number. But, Louisville is good. Oh and FIU is 0-3 ATS so far and I don’t see that changing. Teddy B and the Cardinals offense will do what they need to do.

Pittsburgh @ Duke +4 – 1 unit
Yes, I’m picking Duke as an underdog with a spread under 5. Don’t judge me. I also know that Duke is just 2-6 in their last 8, but those two wins are from this season. This is Pitt’s first ACC road game. Should that matter? I don’t know, but it seems like it should. This one is going to be close, and don’t be shocked if the Dukies pull the upset.

Ball State -10.5 @ Eastern Michigan – 1 unit
Ball State is 16-6 ATS in their last 22. EMU is 2-6 in their last 8. The Eagles covered in a loss last week, which means they are due to give an ATS loss. Get you some Saturday MACtion!

Purdue @ Wisconsin -24 – 2 units
You ever see a big, slow fat kid poking a big ass dog through a fence only to see that dog hurdle the fence as the kid walks away and chase that screaming, cry kid up the street? Yeah well that dog is Wisconsin after being jobbed last week. And well Purdue is the kid. Poor, poor Purdue. The Badgers will leave no doubt in this one. Oh and by the way Wiscy is 3-0 ATS this season.

ULM @ Baylor -28.5 – 2 unit
At first glance this is a bit of a tough call. ULM is 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games. But the Warhawks aren’t quite what they were last year. That, and Baylor isn’t so much a football team as they are an uncontrollable death machine. They’re 14-2 ATS in their last 16 home games. And if you don’t think Art Briles posted last year’s score all over the locker room this week, you’re dead wrong. Oh and for the love of everything good and holy, bet the over 75.

The Baylor Bears Bonus Over of the Week
SMU @ TAMU - over 79.5

With Baylor already on the docket we’ll find a suitable replacement. Yes I know they’re coming off the Bama loss and teams typically don’t do well after the Bama beatdown. But, I don’t think Johnny Football knows what a let-down is. A&M and SMU have gone over in all three FBS games this year. I mean it’s a Kevin Sumlin and June Jones match up. I expect there to be 1,298 passing attempts, 8,437 yards and 1.2 million points in this game.

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