Thursday, November 7, 2013

Quick Buck Thursday: Quality Not Quantity

Go Big or Go Home. And that's what got us over the hump last week. Both the 5 unit plays came in while Notre Dame and Rich Rod continue to plague my life. When will I ever learn? I'm not even mad about Houston. Streaks end. Enough about the past, let's look to the future.

Unit Roll - 39 Units

Iowa -15 @ Purdue - 3 Units
Purdue is on a quest for football ineptitudinal greatness. They are so bad you have to make up words like "ineptitudinal". That and the Hawks have been covering against bad teams. Purdue should be extra bad this week after being mauled by MSU and OSU the last two games. Good spot for the Hawkeyes.

Missouri -14.5 @ Kentucky - 3 Units
Riding the Tiger wave. This is another situation of a bad team at home against a good team. In this case a 7-1 ATS good team. The Wildcats haven't been able to score against good defenses. Seven against Bama and Florida and 13 against Louisville. And I think Mizzou's defense is one of the best in the SEC.

UTEP @ North Texas - 25.5 - 5 Units
The Mean Green has been mean and bring me green all season long. At 7-2 ATS they've been cover machines. UTEP sits at 1-7 ATS on the year and is not so good. I like the big home favorite as my big bet of the week.

NC State @ Duke -9 - 1 Unit
The Dukies are playing with a ton of confidence. And rightfully so. They are 6-2 ATS on the year and have been solid against average teams. Duke is just the better team here. I'm a little nervous about them looking ahead to next week's game against Miami, but I think Cutcliff will have them focused.

LSU @ Alabama -12 - 1 Unit
This is a rivalry game. But Bama is a lot better than LSU this year. LSU defense is no where near where it's been in past. And LSU's offense is not TAMU's offense. Mettenberger is decent, but he's not Manziel. The Tide should roll, but I'm only going 1 Unit because it's Bama/LSU and who knows what will happen.

The Baylor Bears Over Bonus Of The Week
Troy @ ULL - Over 67.5 
Thursday night is going to set the ESPN crawler on fire. The big games are going to get all the attention but little ol Troy has missed an over just once. And when ULL plays anyone with a plus, points are plentiful.

The Bob Drake "I need one more team for my 21-team teaser" Double Bonus
Virginia @ North Carolina - Under 51.5
UNC is going to choke the life out of Virginia. They'll be content with eating up clock and walking out a 27 - 16 winner.

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